1) Gonna offer a hypothesis. This is NOT a prediction quite yet.

2) In the last couple of days the DNCC went back into IA1 (Blum) and VA10 (Comstock) and began placing ads again.

3) These were races they thought they had won in mid-summer. Barbara Comstock was the . . .

3) contd . . epitome of the endangered R who would lose her seat in the fall. She of course still might.

4) But this race was supposed to be over weeks ago. The fact that the DNCC is now having to fight for this territory tells me something.
5) I think the DemoKKKrat strategists can actually read. Moreover, I think they can read absentee/early voting #s as well as we can.

6) Which means they see they are getting buried. Even in NV, the only state of six where they have a tiny lead, I'm told that . . .
6) contd . . when the rural counties come in, Ds will be a shocking 41,000 short of their 2016 numbers (when Trump only lost by 27,000).

7) What does it mean they are now having to retake the "cities" they supposedly held? It probably means they never held them at all.
8) Their "leads" were always based almost entirely on polls.

9) But I think it means something more. I think the DNC is . . .

SCARED. TO. DEATH.
10) They are looking at losing a net five or six more senate seats . . but with some luck, Rs could take one or two more meaning a 58 or 59 seat senate. This would put it well out of RINO range.

Minion Romney would not be able to slink over to the DemoKKKrats . . .
10) contd . . . and caucus to sink Trump-friendly bills or legislation.

Thank you Susan Collins, but that will be the last time you EVER hold the upper hand in a vote.

11) But it means more than that. I think the Ds' retreat in these "safe" races means something bigger:
12) I think they KNOW they will not take the House and now are terrified of actually losing MORE seats to the Rs.

13) Again, the numbers are in their favor: I count only 2 "guaranteed" D-R flips right now and about 5 others. But when you see those absentee #S, . . .
13) contd . . they "seem" to be bringing a different message from the voters.

14) The Ds can afford to not take back the House. After all, they don't have it now.

15) What they CANNOT afford is to be seen as losing across the board, a continuation of the Obama years.
16) I'll wait for more evidence before changing my hypothesis to a prediction, but if I see just two more ad buys in seats that a month ago were considered "safe" D?

I'll know that on election night the drug stores are gonna be running short of razor blades.

Most Liked Replies

Bill Kent:
GOP has nationwide since Lindsey Graham's Kavanaugh speech & caravan is only making GOP & Independent Voters go to the polls faster & with more enthusiasm. No complacency problem. #redtsunami
Hoppah:
I knew Trump was going to win in 2015, because I travel all over the country and talk to people from all walks of life. And I’ll make a prediction I’ve been making since last Fall: the Dems are going to lose, big. They aren’t going to take either side of Congress.
Phineas P. Gage:
Here’s my hypothesis upgraded to a prediction. President Trump achieves what no other president has ever done. The largest party gain in history. It’s just so damn obvious.
Captain Cook's Wife:
I hope you’re right on with this thread!😍🇺🇸
mjordan:
Another anecdotal point: NBC studied early voting and reported the scary results today. Bet that was something the DNC wanted ... to motivate NPC drones to vote.
X3.1416lot ❌:
One thing you haven't mentioned. There has been a major shift in approval numbers from Black and Hispanic voters favoring Trump. The Dems can no longer count on 92% from Blacks and & 70% from Hispanics. They like their new JOBS!
Barbara Raymond:
Only Trump can force DNC to spend Millions on mid-term races across the country. Mid-terms should be easy for the party not in power to win. What are they going to do in 2020? Coffers empty and no viable candidates.😂
Stable Genius:
Fingers crossed but it makes sense as to what I am seeing here in CA, the easiest dem market outside of NY! Newsom barely ran ads and now that polls (hate them too) show he and Cox neck and neck, I know he knows that the Rs have the best chance there to win the Gov back!
🇺🇸 Mahatma Kane Jeeves 🇺🇸 GAB.ai/GoldStuart:
🔥2018 Early Votes👇Red Tidal Wave😁‼️🔥@RealDonaldTrump @VP @DonaldJTrumpJr @EricTrump @IvankaTrump @Scavino45 @PressSec @KellyannePolls @SebGorka @Scaramucci @DrMartyFox @AppSame @WeSupport45 @FoxNews @ClintEastwoodLA @JimEastridge1 @USACSMRet @DFBHarvard #MAGA #KAG #WWG1WGA https://t.co/uNZQeQbUNI
SouthernBelle ❤:
If you follow @patton6966 he has said this will be a massive red wave like no other. I'm just praying, begging, pleading that Florida elects @RonDeSantisFL


Original Tweet